Investment, regulation, and uncertainty
نویسندگان
چکیده
As with any technological innovation, time refines the technology, improving upon the original version of the innovative product. The initial GM crops had single traits for either herbicide tolerance or insect resistance. Current varieties have both of these traits stacked together and in many cases other abiotic and biotic traits have also been stacked. This innovation requires investment. While this is relatively straight forward, certain conditions need to exist such that investments can be facilitated. The principle requirement for investment is that regulatory frameworks render consistent and timely decisions. If the certainty of regulatory outcomes weakens, the potential for changes in investment patterns increases. This article provides a summary background to the leading plant breeding technologies that are either currently being used to develop new crop varieties or are in the pipeline to be applied to plant breeding within the next few years. Challenges for existing regulatory systems are highlighted. Utilizing an option value approach from investment literature, an assessment of uncertainty regarding the regulatory approval for these varying techniques is undertaken. This research highlights which technology development options have the greatest degree of uncertainty and hence, which ones might be expected to see an investment decline.
منابع مشابه
Dynamic Relationship between Inflation Uncertainty and Private Investment in Iran: An Application of VAR-GARCH-M Model
This paper empirically investigates the relationship between CPI inflation uncertainty, and private investment in the Iranian economy from 1988 to 2010 by using quarterly data. We employ a bivariate VAR(5)-GARCH(1,1)-in-mean with diagonal BEKK model to discover in a unified framework how are the interactions between the variables. In the model, conditional variance of inflation and private inve...
متن کاملThe study of the effective factors on investment in private sector in Iran “With emphasis on uncertainty”
Making capital and investment is the main driving forces of economic development. Based on the investment sensitivity to the changes of some of macro-economic variables and risk and uncertainty, the present study evaluated the effective factors on investment in private sector in Iran during 1980-2007. At first, the uncertainty variables of real informal exchange rate, nominal interest rate and ...
متن کاملInvestigation of exchange rate uncertainty and inflation on investment of construction companies in Iran
The construction industry in the housing sector plays an important role in economic growth due to its significant share in GDP compared to other sectors. One of the most important factors hindering the increase of private sector investment in the construction industry is the faltering of trust. Meanwhile, exchange rate uncertainty and inflation have the most negative impact on the investment of...
متن کاملThe Effect Of Salvage Market On Strategic Technology Choice And Capacity Investment Decision Of Firm Under Demand Uncertainty
متن کامل
Foreign Investment as Main Factor for Successful Funds and Its Effect on Trade Balance Strategic Technology Adoption under Technological Uncertainty
متن کامل
Economic uncertainty and its impact on costs of consumption and private sector investment in the Iranian economy
The issue of uncertainty and its economic impact is one of the topics that economic researchers have considered in recent years. In conditions of uncertainty, the decision of economic units to produce, consume and invest, etc., is different from normal conditions. This study aims to determine the index of economic uncertainty for Iran according to the channels of its impact on the economy. Ther...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره 5 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2014